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China's Favorite American Idea
the "Thucydides Trap" shows how bad history can succeed if it serves a purpose
May 18
•
Seva Gunitsky
171
27
53
Polymarket is Making Wars More Dangerous
prediction markets and the new politics of conflict
May 13
•
Seva Gunitsky
105
9
31
Who Gets War Right? Michael Kofman Responds
a debate about military forecasting, broken clocks, and magic wands
Apr 29
•
Seva Gunitsky
and
Michael Kofman
89
21
15
The Expert Trap and the Next War
what forecasting failure tells us about the future
Apr 15
•
Seva Gunitsky
220
62
57
The Incel Global Order
modern autocracy as a cult of masculinity
Apr 1
•
Seva Gunitsky
277
42
82
The Three Gulf Wars of American Hegemony
tracking the decay of the unipolar moment
Mar 18
•
Seva Gunitsky
126
8
24
You Got Your Multipolar World. Now What?
Putin demanded a new global order. Now he has to live in one.
Feb 17
•
Seva Gunitsky
184
3
36
The Epstein Files and Russiagate are the Same Thing
For years the culture war has assigned these scandals to opposite teams.
Feb 2
•
Seva Gunitsky
241
29
83
Taking Global Politics Personally
welcome to the age of Omnipotent Toddlers
Jan 27
•
Seva Gunitsky
73
25
12
The Strong Will Suffer What They Must
Vaclav's Grocer and American Hubris
Jan 21
•
Seva Gunitsky
352
68
101
Venezuela Is a Gift to Putin
and a harbinger of more Russian aggression in Europe
Jan 3
•
Seva Gunitsky
83
27
21
2025: Hegemonic Suicide and Other Innovations
Every generation, on reaching middle age, begins to see the world around them in decline in order to habituate themselves to their own decay.
Dec 28, 2025
•
Seva Gunitsky
64
6
20
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